Guaranteed Cappers
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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $80000.00 plus dime player run! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 08, 2024 Angels vs Pirates |
Pirates -125 at SC Consensus |
Lost $125.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Pittsburghs starter PEREZ is 21-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)PEREZ is also 14-3 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons He has seen his team win his L.3 appearances vs the Angels . The Angels entered Tuesday having lost 14 of their past 17 game and are fade material in this current form. I know they exploded yesterday, but now Im betting on immediate regression. LA ANGELS are 2-12 against the money line in day games this season LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), in May games are 42-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 08, 2024 Marlins vs Dodgers |
Dodgers -1½ -123 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Miamis starter Weathers has faltered of late losing his L/.3 starts while garnering a 6.89 ERA. All three losses came by two or more runs. The Marlins southpaws most recent appearance vs the Dodgers came last season in a 4-0 loss. Im betting hes in trouble vs a Dodgers team that is averaging 5.8 rpg at home on the season. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Gavin Stone owns a 2.20 ERA in his L/3 starts with his team winning 2 of those tilts. He has garnered a 2.90 ERA on the season and according to my projections gives the Dodgers the pitching edge. The Dodgers won the first game of this series by a 6-3 count and followed that up with a 8-2 win yesterday and Im betting on another 2+ run victory here today. Dodgers have won 6 straight games with 5 of those games coming +2 runs. Miami has lost 4 of their L/5 with 4 of those tilts seeing losses of +2 runs . MIAMI is 5-21 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2. MIAMI is 33-91 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-36 L/5 seasons for go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff registering at -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on the LA Dodgers Runline |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | May 08, 2024 Pacers vs Knicks |
OVER 222½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Pacers pushed the Knicks out of their comfort zone last time and the Knicks responded with some offensive fireworks and a 121-1117 victory. We all know the Pacers high octane offense will be ready to run and gun and here again tonite which will have the Knicks having to reciprocate with aggressive offensive maneuvers or be blown of the court. My projections estimate both these teams will score more than 114 points. NEW YORK is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 250.1 ppg scored. INDIANA is 39-4 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 257.1 ppg scored. Note:Carlisle in 55 games against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of INDIANA has seen a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored.Carlisle in 137 games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of INDIANA ha seen a combined average of 236.6 ppg scored. NDIANA in 68 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 144.7 ppg scored.INDIANA in 43 games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season have seen a combined average of 243.2 ppg scored. Thibodeau in 109 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of NEW YORK has seen a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored. Six of the L/seven meetings in this series have eclipsed this Totals offering.NEW YORK in 73 games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 227.3 ppg scored.NEW YORK is 13-4 OVER vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. Play over |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
